“Never, ever argue with your trading system,” advises Michael Covel, a renowned financial author. The quote has multiple layers. First, you must have a trading strategy that works for you. If you already have a plan but it doesn’t work, modify it. Next, you must trust your trading system enough to follow it even if it doesn’t “feel” comfortable. This is when your emotions are trying to take over your trading decisions. For beginners, building a plan you can use under different market conditions is a great way to keep emotions at bay.
Here are the 7 steps you can follow to create a winning forex trading plan. And don’t forget to practise it on a demo account before applying it to the live markets.
- List Your Trading GoalsMentally defining your financial goals may not be enough. Make a trading journal and note the following as clearly (and measurably) as possible:
- Financial objectives
- Capital available
- Risk tolerance
- Time horizon
- Trading style
Of course, these details aren’t written in stone. They are open to changing with time, based on your financial condition, available funds, life goals, etc. These guide your trading strategy and your trading activities. Consider what goes best with your natural money personality. Do you prefer the thrill of fast trading or want to ease yourself into the process with slower forex trading? - Create Your Trading SanctumChoose a place in your house/office that allows you to focus on trading. Select a time when you will not be disturbed, exhausted (after your day job), or overwhelmed by emotions. Dedicated time for developing a trading system will later become your trading window. It’s like training your mind to focus on the markets and nothing else for a few hours at the same time every day.
- Select Your Trading Instruments This is one of the most crucial parts of the strategy. Forex traders can use the 5-3-1 rule to choose their preferred forex pairs. A good practice is to have a mix of instruments in your portfolio.Correlated instruments, such as precious metals (silver and gold), help you make informed trades in the direction of the markets. Traders popularly use it during trend trading.On the other hand, non-correlated currency pairs, such as EUR/ USD and GBP/NZD, can help you hedge against market reversals and unpredictable developments. Opening similar positions in both pairs allows you to hedge against the risks of each pair. This may not give a lot of capital surplus but it aims to lower losses during volatile times.You can also use contracts for difference (CFDs) for trading forex. This allows you to take a position in one direction and hedge it with an opposing position on the same pair. This is called a straddle strategy.
- Study the MarketsFollow the markets, calendar events, geopolitical news and economic data to understand how the interplay of different factors drives market moves of our chosen instrument. For instance, a steady decline in inflation in the US may drive the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. The expectations of a pullback on repo rates tend to weigh on the US dollar. So, if you factor in the impact of reduced interest rates on the currency, the effect of the actual lowering of rates might be less pronounced on your trading position.A similar thing was evident in the downtrend in crude oil prices in July 2024. Despite OPEC+ extending the oil output cuts into 2025, overflowing US inventories could compensate for the OPEC-created supply deficit. Traders who had factored in the US surplus were able to protect themselves against the 7.46% loss in crude oil price through the month of July, taking the price from $83.38 per barrel to $77.16.
- Define Your Risk Management StrategyTaking a page from Yvan Byeajee’s trading book, “Confidence is not ‘I will profit on this trade.’ Confidence is ‘I will be fine if I don’t profit from this trade.’” The trading guru insists on ensuring that losing a trade does not cloud your judgment. This is where risk management becomes as critical as the trading strategy:
- Size your position to risk only as much capital as you can afford to lose. Popularly, forex traders risk only 1% to 2% of their capital on a single trade.
- Define a comfortable risk-reward ratio. Your positions should reflect the amount of capital you are comfortable risking for a certain profit potential.
- Plan to recover your losses with hedging techniques.
Risk management is even more critical when trading on margin using CFDs. This is because both profit and the loss potential are amplified due to leverage. - Define Entry and Exit PointsYour entry and exit strategies define when you trade.Hacks to objectively choose entry points:
- Use technical indicators and confirmation signals to take positions.
- Open and close with news signals, such as economic data or earnings reports for news-based trading strategies.
- Forex traders who use expert advisors (EAs) must configure the EA to match their trading goals and risk appetite.
It is best to set exit points while opening a position:- Set profit targets to exit completely or partially.
- Use stop loss to prevent losses from accumulating.
- Use trailing stops to garner profit as the market moves in your preferred direction and exit when it reverses.
- Practise and TrackThe best technique to improve your trading strategy is to practise on a demo account and keep track of all your trades. This helps you learn from mistakes. Remember, there’s no championing financial markets, calendar events, geopolitical conditions, economic conditions, and seasonality all affect how the markets move. The goal is to reach a stage where you can rationally decide whether to follow your plan thoroughly or refine it.
To Sum Up
- A trading strategy is the key to exceptional trading experiences.
- Define your trading goals, horizon and risk tolerance levels, and adopt a routine.
- Select the instruments you want to trade and learn what moves them.
- Develop a risk management strategy.
- Define and practise entry and exit points, while simultaneously recording your trading experiences.
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