Trend trading is a popular forex strategy, especially among beginners. When the price shows a clear direction, upwards or downwards, that’s your opportunity to ride the tide. Riding a strong trend can lower risk. However, ensuring that the trend is indeed strong enough to ride is paramount. This is where the Average Directional Index or ADX indicator helps.
ADX is a lagging technical indicator that helps determine the strength of a trend. The average directional index indicator quantifies the strength of an ongoing trend using moving averages on the price range expansion over a given timeframe. The default timeframe is 14 days, although you can customise the period according to your trading strategy. ADX is plotted below the price chart and ranges between 0 and 100.
The ADX indicator consists of 3 lines, calculated using the average true range (ATR) and directional index (DI) for the period under consideration.
ATR (average true range) = (Previous ATR x (n-1) + TR) / n
Where:
n = number of periods
TR = True range = Current high – Current low
ATR is sometimes also called smoothed TR.
Here’s how it is used to plot ADX:
+DI (positive directional index) = ((Smoothed MA + DM)/ATR) * 100
-DI (negative directional index) = ((Smoothed MA – DM)/ATR) * 100
DMI/ DX (directional movement index) = (( |+DI – -DI | ) / ( |+DI + -DI | )) x 100
Where:
First ADX = Sum of DMI over n periods / n
After that, ADX = ((Prior ADX * n-1) + Current DX) /n
Seams tedious? Don’t worry, you don’t have to calculate or set the formula manually. Reputed brokerages provide the technical analysis tool as a ready-to-use indicator on their trading platform. Traders can simply drag and drop it to add to the price chart. The number of periods (n) and the duration of each period (1 minute, 1 hour, 1 day, etc.) can be adjusted.
0 – 25: Market is range-bound
25 – 50: Trend strength is good
50 – 75: Strong trend, usually a good time to ride even if you are a late entrant
75 – 100: This is a rare event and indicates that the trend is very strong.
Traders use the ADX for several technical analysis purposes:
The crossover of the +DI above the -DI indicates that the rate of positive price change is greater than the rate of negative change. If this happens when ADX > 50, it is considered a strong signal to buy or exit sell positions.
When the -DI crosses over the +DI, the negative price change is faster than the positive price change. When this is accompanied by ADX < 25, traders popularly go short or exit their long positions.
When ADX sustains below 25 for a considerable time, traders switch to range trading strategies. Range trading strategies involve combining on balance volume (OBV), volume price trend (VPT), money flow index (MFI) and accumulation/distribution with the ADX indicator.
Buy orders are usually placed when the price is close to the support level while sell orders are placed when the price is in resistance area.
Sideways markets eventually break out and this happens when the trend strength is high. While Bollinger Bands and RSI are popularly used to identify breakouts, they can generate false signals. ADX > 25 accompanying a breakout indicates that the momentum is likely to be sustained. This is a signal to ride the trend in the direction of the breakout.
Things to keep in mind while using the ADX indicator for technical analysis include:
Traders combine ADX with several popular indicators, such as:
MACD identifies the trend direction while ADX signals its strength. This helps traders determine entry positions within the trend.
RSI indicates the momentum and ADX indicates the strength. The two indicators help traders determining optimal entry and exit points.
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